TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Syracuse will win its college football game against SMU. Currently, Kalshi gives Syracuse a 98.0% probability of winning, while SMU is at 2.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the SMU vs Syracuse game, as determined by official results, with Kalshi as the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as the result of this match will directly determine the market’s outcome and resolution on or around the resolution date of 2026-10-31.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the SMU vs Syracuse college football game scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often present a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, the prediction market can quickly adjust based on factors like injury reports or strategic analysis, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the game’s outcome. Examining both can provide a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the SMU vs Syracuse game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to rapidly incorporate new information and adjust predictions in real-time, representing a collective forecast of the game’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the SMU vs Syracuse game, as reported by a trusted source for college football scores. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates surrounding the game leading up to the resolution date to stay informed of any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Key factors include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either SMU or Syracuse, as these can dramatically alter a team’s chances of winning. Coaching changes, significant shifts in team performance during recent games, and even weather forecasts for the game day could all influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or player availability are also likely to cause price fluctuations in this market, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders.