TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Smouha and El Mahallah in Egypt's Premier League. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If neither team wins during this period, the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Smouha vs El Mahallah professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Smouha, a win for El Mahallah, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within the standard timeframe, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, particularly if they move in response to significant news or injuries. It’s always wise to compare both to inform your decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of contracts representing that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a fair and efficient way to forecast the result of the Smouha vs El Mahallah match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Smouha vs El Mahallah match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will then verify the result and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on objective evidence.
Several factors could influence this market before the Oct 12, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player availability or tactical changes could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the market, especially with lower volume. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is key to understanding how the market might evolve.