TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market addresses the advancement of either Slovenia or Turkiye in the first round of the women's FIFA World Cup Qualifiers. The result will determine which team progresses from their tie based solely on the match outcome after regulation time.
If Slovenia advance past Turkiye in the Slovenia vs Turkiye soccer tie in the Round 1 of the FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women, then the market resolves to Yes. If Turkiye advance past Slovenia in the Slovenia vs Turkiye soccer tie in the Round 1 of the FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts based on their own research and beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing risk appetites and information access between market participants and sportsbook operators.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their views. This creates a constantly evolving assessment of the potential results of the Slovenia vs Turkiye match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Slovenia vs Turkiye match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions at the match location are also a potential catalyst, as they can impact playing style and overall performance. Furthermore, public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media trends can play a role in shaping market expectations. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities within this market.