TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 10d:21h:15m
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This group forecasts the outcome of the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Slovenia and Switzerland scheduled for November 13, 2026. Markets exist for Slovenia winning, Switzerland winning, and the game ending in a draw. All markets consider only the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Slovenia and Switzerland, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Slovenia vs Switzerland UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 13, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Slovenia or Switzerland occurs only if that respective team wins the match in regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the UEFA or governing bodies, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentive structures and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance their books and profit from margins, while prediction markets incentivize participants to accurately forecast outcomes. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information, including insights not readily available to sportsbooks. While both attempt to predict the same events, the mechanisms and resulting probabilities can vary significantly, offering a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making regarding the Slovenia vs. Switzerland match.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the displayed probabilities. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Switzerland win on 2026-11-13? at 58.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Switzerland wins at 60.0%, illustrating these potential differences.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Slovenia vs. Switzerland match as declared by the governing sporting body. The final outcome will be determined by the official score or result declared by the relevant authorities following the completion of the match. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift the probabilities. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns on Polymarket or Kalshi, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, any updates on the teams' recent performance or tactical approaches could influence traders' assessments. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market as the Slovenia vs. Switzerland match approaches.