TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:38 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in the Slovakian 2. Liga. The result depends solely on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Slovan Galanta vs MFk Bytca professional Slovakian 2. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team wins within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time or penalty outcomes do not count. A separate 'Tie' market resolves if the game ends level after regular time. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information is factored in by all parties.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual result. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slovan Galanta vs MFk Bytca match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the match’s completion.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable or significant changes in team strategy would likely cause movement. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also impact the price of contracts in this market as traders adjust their positions.