TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Slovan Bratislava and Stuttgart. The result depends on the margin of victory for either team within specified thresholds. Different thresholds define separate outcomes for each possible win scenario.
The event evaluates four distinct winning margins in the Slovan Bratislava vs Stuttgart Champions League match scheduled for October 14, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Slovan Bratislava wins by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Stuttgart wins by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The resolution hinges solely on the goal differential at the end of regular time, with no consideration for other match factors. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, tends to be more efficient, reflecting the true probabilities as perceived by participants. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to potential discrepancies when compared to the spread being traded here. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sides of the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of the spread being exceeded, based on the information and analysis of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Slovan Bratislava vs Stuttgart match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread determined by the governing soccer authorities. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual outcome of the match. This allows for a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Slovan Bratislava or Stuttgart could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on match day could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected announcements regarding player availability or changes in the starting lineups are also likely to cause fluctuations in the market as traders react to the new information.