TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Slaven Belupo and Istra 1961, focusing exclusively on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends on which team secures a victory within this timeframe, or if the match concludes in a draw. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will lead to a fair price resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 professional Croatia HNL soccer match scheduled for October 30, 2026, determined solely after the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Slaven Belupo, a win for Istra 1961, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the stated rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by traders who are actively buying and selling contracts based on their own research and beliefs. This can lead to differences, as the prediction market may incorporate information or perspectives not fully captured by traditional oddsmakers. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slaven Belupo versus Istra 1961 match in the Croatian First Football League. The winning team, or a draw, will be determined by the official match statistics and reported by recognized sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff for either Slaven Belupo or Istra 1961 could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause price fluctuations, as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.