TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two Croatian teams. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within the standard match duration. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Slaven Belupo versus Dinamo Zagreb professional Croatia HNL soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time; if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time counts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market odds can adjust more rapidly and efficiently than traditional sportsbook lines, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market clears at the best available prices. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slaven Belupo versus Dinamo Zagreb football match. The platform will verify the result against trusted sports news sources and official league standings to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Slaven Belupo or Dinamo Zagreb would be major catalysts. Any unexpected changes in team formations or managerial decisions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, news regarding weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as red cards or early goals, would also likely cause substantial movement.