TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in an international league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will be handled according to specific timing guidelines.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional EuroCup basketball game between Slask Wroclaw and Aquila Basket Trento, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, at 2:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is underrating a team’s chances, the odds on Kalshi may move in the opposite direction. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. It’s common to see this market offer insights distinct from those presented by conventional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism driven entirely by supply and demand among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slask Wroclaw versus Aquila Basket Trento game. Specifically, the market will determine which team won the game, based on the official score reported by the governing basketball league. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even changes in weather conditions (if the game is outdoors, which is unlikely for basketball) could also play a role. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting new information or strategic positioning within this market.