TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between SL Benfica and Guimaraes. Participants can speculate on whether SL Benfica, Guimaraes, or a tied result will occur after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
The markets resolve based on the result of the SL Benfica vs Guimaraes professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for SL Benfica or Guimaraes markets occurs only if the respective team wins within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who may have inherent biases or limitations in their models. This market, however, allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the event’s probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Benfica vs Guimaraes match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to verify the final score and declare the outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Benfica or Guimaraes would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also shift the odds. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even general shifts in public opinion, could contribute to volatility in this market as traders react to new information.