TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines if both SL Benfica and Celtic will score in their Europa League fixture scheduled for October 15, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if each team scores at least one goal during the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team to which they are awarded.
If SL Benfica and Celtic both score a goal in the SL Benfica vs Celtic Europa League match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often incorporating information not immediately available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perceptions. You may find that the implied probability from Kalshi differs from sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. This difference can stem from varying levels of information access and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Benfica and Celtic will score during the match. The price of a 'Yes' contract represents the probability of both teams scoring, while a 'No' contract reflects the probability of at least one team failing to score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe both teams will score, the 'Yes' price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and express a collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Benfica and Celtic score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added injury or stoppage time. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. No further information about the resolution process is available at this time.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Benfica or Celtic would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause price fluctuations. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can move the market, reflecting changes in trader beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring.