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412,077

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5

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SL Benfica vs Alverca
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of SL Benfica vs Alverca?

Total volume:
$1,452,324
Volume 24h:
$1,447,749
52,056%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$584,592
14,649%

SL Benfica

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Closed: Nov 2, 5:22 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SL Benfica

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$857,774
N/A
N/A
$305,098
Settled
Yes
limitless

Benfica

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$954
N/A
N/A
N/A
14h 28m
Yes
kalshi

Alverca

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310,159
N/A
N/A
$157,320
Settled
No
limitless

Alverca

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
14h 28m
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$283,425
N/A
N/A
$122,173
Settled
No
limitless

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
14h 28m
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether SL Benfica will win its Liga Portugal soccer match against Alverca, scheduled for November 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of SL Benfica winning is 99.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Limitless and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the outcome of the game as determined by If SL Benfica wins the SL Benfica vs Alverca professional Liga Portugal soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.. Keep an eye on the match itself on November 2, 2026, to see if Benfica secures a win within the standard 90 minutes of play.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure treats all possible outcomes as resolving to 'Yes', creating a SKU risk compared to Limitless's individual 'YES/NO' markets.Hero tip: On Kalshi, a correct prediction doesn't necessarily mean the market resolves to 'Yes' if other outcomes also occur. Focus on the probability of *any* of the listed outcomes happening.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if SL Benfica wins, Alverca wins, or the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. "If SL Benfica wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
  • limitless: Separate markets exist for Benfica win, Alverca win, and Draw, each resolving to 'YES' if the respective outcome occurs and 'NO' otherwise. "This market resolves to 'YES' if the listed club wins...Otherwise, it will resolve to 'NO'."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the SL Benfica vs Alverca professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for November 2, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: SL Benfica win, Alverca win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the governing league, without regard to post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalties.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 2, 2026, 20:15 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Benfica vs Alverca match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,452,324, with $1,437,484 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this contest. The dashboard provides a consensus view, reflecting the combined predictions of traders on both venues. Kalshi currently shows a strong leaning toward one outcome, while Limitless presents a slightly different perspective, creating a dynamic and informative view of the potential results.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Limitless, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, whereas prediction markets allow traders to collectively assess probabilities. This market’s odds reflect real-time sentiment and information, potentially leading to more accurate predictions, particularly as the event approaches. The volume of $1,452,324 suggests a robust market, and comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal discrepancies and potential value for informed bettors.

Prices on Kalshi and Limitless can diverge for several reasons. Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform differs – currently $1,452,324 overall – and imbalances in buy and sell pressure can create temporary price discrepancies. Furthermore, information access and interpretation can vary among traders on each venue, leading to differing assessments of the likely outcome of the Benfica vs Alverca match. These factors contribute to the observed price variations.