TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga Portugal 2 game between SL Benfica B and FC Felgueiras 1932, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SL Benfica B vs. FC Felgueiras 1932 match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Liga Portugal 2 game between SL Benfica B and FC Felgueiras 1932, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SL Benfica B vs. FC Felgueiras 1932 match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each exact score. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for a particular outcome drives its price up, increasing its implied probability, while lower demand causes the price to fall. This dynamic process ensures the market reflects the aggregate forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the SL Benfica B vs. FC Felgueiras 1932 match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the market's pricing at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and final score. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis or expert opinions released by sports analysts could sway market participants. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the probabilities offered in this market.