TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Skachenko Serhii and Naida Oleksandr in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 12 at 7:25PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Skachenko Serhii' if Skachenko Serhii wins against Naida Oleksandr. This market will resolve to 'Naida Oleksandr' if Naida Oleksandr wins against Skachenko Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Skachenko Serhii and Naida Oleksandr in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 12 at 7:25PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Skachenko Serhii' if Skachenko Serhii wins against Naida Oleksandr. This market will resolve to 'Naida Oleksandr' if Naida Oleksandr wins against Skachenko Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market incentivizes participants to express their true beliefs. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of information, market efficiency, and the specific incentives of each venue. It’s common to see initial differences that narrow as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing opinions among traders. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Skachenko vs. Naida match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the event's progress and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of either athlete, such as injuries or illness, would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Updates on training progress, strategic changes, or even weather conditions (if applicable) could also play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the match itself are likely to be key catalysts.