TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:06 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Austria Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Austria Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:00 AM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they can drive the price on Polymarket to reflect that assessment, potentially offering a more accurate probability estimate than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes, and the price of each share directly reflects the market’s implied probability for that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is solely determined by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing system for the Austrian Bundesliga match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Austrian Bundesliga match between SK Sturm Graz and Grazer AK 1902. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift the perceived probabilities. Additionally, real-time performance during the match itself – such as early goals, red cards, or significant tactical adjustments – could trigger substantial price movements. Broader factors like weather conditions or even public sentiment expressed on social media could also play a role in influencing traders’ decisions and, consequently, the price of shares in this market.