TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
SK Rapid
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:20h:09m
$
This group covers the outcome of a professional Austrian Bundesliga soccer game between SK Rapid and Wolfsberger AC scheduled for November 6, 2026. Markets ask whether SK Rapid, Wolfsberger AC will win, or if the game will end in a draw, all within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game between SK Rapid and Wolfsberger AC, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The event resolves based on the result of the SK Rapid vs Wolfsberg professional Austrian Bundesliga soccer match originally scheduled for November 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If SK Rapid wins, the 'SK Rapid' market resolves to Yes. If Wolfsberg wins, the 'Wolfsberg' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, factoring in a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying levels of market participation. It's also common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which can influence price discovery. Differences in the types of traders participating – for example, more sophisticated or informed traders on one platform – can also lead to differing valuations. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform impacts price sensitivity; a larger volume on Polymarket might result in a more stable price compared to Kalshi with lower volume. These dynamics contribute to the observed price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Austrian Bundesliga match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be based on the official result as reported by the league organizers. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score and the match winner, as this will be the basis for settlement of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either SK Rapid or Wolfsberger AC would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Tactical changes announced by either team’s manager, or unexpected changes in team form during preceding matches, could also influence trading activity. Even external factors, such as weather conditions on match day, or significant refereeing announcements, have the potential to move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s likelihood of winning will be reflected in the price.