TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 5:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game between SK Rapid and TSV Hartberg, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SK Rapid vs. TSV Hartberg match originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game between SK Rapid and TSV Hartberg, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SK Rapid vs. TSV Hartberg match originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Polymarket.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the SK Rapid vs. Hartberg match, and the price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular score, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust based on new information and trader sentiment, creating a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the SK Rapid vs. TSV Hartberg match will be used to determine the winning share(s). Resolution will depend on official match data, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result, as this will trigger the settlement of all outstanding shares in this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either SK Rapid or TSV Hartberg would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for a specific playing style, could also impact trading. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from respected football commentators or analysts that challenges existing expectations could lead to shifts in market sentiment on Polymarket. Unexpected team lineup announcements could also trigger a response.