TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:14 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game between SK Rapid and Austria Lustenau, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game between SK Rapid and Austria Lustenau, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse opinions of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines often influence early trading activity. It's common to see discrepancies, especially in less liquid markets, as prediction markets can sometimes be more sensitive to new information and subtle shifts in sentiment surrounding the SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each exact score occurring in the SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau match. The price of each contract directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. The market's efficiency relies on active participation and informed trading, allowing the price to converge towards a reasonable assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. The market will determine which exact score was the final result of the game. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score will be paid out according to the contract terms at the time of purchase, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either SK Rapid or Austria Lustenau would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as a venue change or a controversial referee appointment, could also lead to shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market. Public opinion and analyst predictions may also play a role, though the market tends to be driven by informed traders.