TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
O/U 2.5
- Polymarket
O/U 2.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 5, 2026
Time left: 02d:21h:34m
$
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for November 5 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for November 5 at 3:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the collective belief of individuals willing to put their capital behind their predictions. It is common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the market perceives value or disagreement with the sportsbook's assessment of the Sturm Graz vs. Celje match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, has a chance percentage of 99.0%.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sturm Graz vs. Celje match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome has the highest probability based on trading activity leading up to the resolution date. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds returned based on whether their predicted outcome matches the actual result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements related to the Sturm Graz vs. Celje match, such as changes in coaching staff or key player availability, would likely cause significant movement. Major upsets in related matches or changes in public sentiment could also contribute to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.