TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:17h:25m
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This prediction market asks for the exact final score of the UEFA Europa League match between SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz and NK Celje. The markets consider regulation time plus stoppage time only, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. A specific 'Any Other Score' outcome is included.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz and NK Celje, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje match originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz and NK Celje, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje match originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s implied probabilities reflect the aggregate beliefs of these traders, potentially revealing insights not captured by sportsbook lines. The volume of $42,991 traded on this market suggests a degree of confidence in the current price, which may or may not align with sportsbook expectations.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Sturm Graz vs. Celje match can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price fluctuations. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, influencing price discovery. Currently, the differing leading outcomes—Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 5 - 0 NK Celje? and Exact Score: SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz 2 - 1 NK Celje?—highlight these discrepancies in market sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score of the SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz versus NK Celje match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the final score at the end of regulation time, and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the final outcome of this market.
Several events could significantly shift the probabilities in this market before it resolves around Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sturm Graz or Celje would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also influence trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over the other. Ultimately, any new information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the trading activity and price movements of this market.