TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Sivasspor and Sariyer. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Sivasspor vs Sariyer professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the actual result: Sivasspor win, Sariyer win, or a tied match. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time plus stoppage minutes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the true probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by supply and demand; higher demand drives prices up, indicating a greater perceived chance of success, while increased selling pressure lowers prices.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sivasspor vs Sariyer match, as determined by the governing football league. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on that official data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Sivasspor or Sariyer could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even referee announcements could also play a role. Additionally, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – can create momentum and move the market, reflecting changing sentiment among traders.