TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Sivasspor and Pendik. Bettors can speculate on whether Sivasspor will win, Pendik will win, or the game will end in a tie based on the final result after regular time.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Sivasspor vs Pendik professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Sivasspor wins, the 'Sivasspor' market resolves to Yes. If Pendik wins, the 'Pendik' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the insights of their own experts, while this market represents a broader range of opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a more comprehensive view of the potential outcomes and the probabilities assigned to them by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sivasspor vs Pendik match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise timing of the resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as venue changes or referee assignments, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public opinion could also drive movement in this market, reflecting evolving perceptions of the likely outcome.