TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The spread betting will determine if Sittard or Enschede wins by a margin greater than the specified goal differences in their match.
These markets resolve based on the margin of victory in the Sittard vs Enschede professional Eredivisie soccer game scheduled for October 10, 2026. All markets consider only the result after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding any outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Sittard wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Enschede wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, depending on the specific market. Each market represents a distinct betting opportunity with varying threshold requirements for the winning margin.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it’s interesting to see if this market shows a similar consensus, or if traders believe there’s value in a different outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome is correct.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Sittard vs Enschede match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-match predictions or analyses, relying solely on the official result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations. Significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, can also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or coaching decisions could introduce new information that traders incorporate into their valuations. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential market movements.