TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional Thai League 1 soccer match between Sisaket United FC and Pathum United, scheduled for October 18, 2026. The focus is on determining whether Sisaket United FC, Pathum United, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the final result of that specific match, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Sisaket United FC versus Pathum United professional Thai League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Sisaket United FC, a win for Pathum United, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing solely on the standing time outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd perceives the probability of a particular result compared to industry experts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific result, and the implied probability is derived from that price. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sisaket United FC vs Pathum United match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and official match statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct result will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Sisaket United FC or Pathum United would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Additionally, news regarding team tactics, coaching changes, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trading activity and the market’s overall pricing. Any significant development related to the teams involved has the potential to move this market.