TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams, Sirius and AIK, scheduled for October 24, 2026. The market focuses on determining the winner after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, a specific outcome reflects this draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Sirius vs AIK professional Allsvenskan soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Sirius wins, the 'Sirius' market resolves to Yes. If AIK wins, the 'AIK' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform, Kalshi, clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market reacts to news and information that sportsbooks haven’t yet fully priced in. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sirius vs AIK match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise timing of the resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are released.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Weather conditions on the day of the match, as well as any pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could also play a role. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either team, even off the field, have the potential to move the market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving sentiment surrounding the Sirius vs AIK match.