TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Valentin Royer in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Valentin Royer. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Timo Legout. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Valentin Royer in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Valentin Royer. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Timo Legout. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of individuals. Therefore, discrepancies can arise. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and those offered by traditional sportsbooks, it could indicate that the crowd believes there's an edge to be found, or that sportsbooks have mispriced the event. It's important to consider both sources when forming your own opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the different possibilities.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Legout vs Royer match, as reported by the governing body for this sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their coaching strategies could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about match conditions, such as a change in venue or surface, could also have an impact. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, influencing trader behavior on Polymarket. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect the market as traders reassess their overall expectations.