TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Sioux Falls: Sebastian Gorzny vs Darwin Blanch Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Sioux Falls: Sebastian Gorzny vs Darwin Blanch Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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Resolved Oct 27, 2026
Closed: Oct 27, 8:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and Darwin Blanch in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Sebastian Gorzny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and Darwin Blanch in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Sebastian Gorzny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, but it’s important to consider the varying levels of liquidity and potential biases in each.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gorzny vs Blanch match as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Gorzny vs Blanch match might also influence trader sentiment. Significant betting activity, even outside of Polymarket, could also cause price movements as traders react to perceived information or momentum. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact the market.