TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Darwin Blanch in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Darwin Blanch in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are determined by traders actively buying and selling contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not yet fully reflected in sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, potentially providing an edge for informed traders. However, sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Draxl vs Blanch match.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sioux Falls tennis match between Liam Draxl and Darwin Blanch. The platform will verify the match outcome against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact perceived probabilities. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also sway the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a strong conviction in a particular outcome for the Draxl vs Blanch match.