TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Daniil Ostapenkov in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Daniil Ostapenkov. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Ostapenkov' if Daniil Ostapenkov advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Daniil Ostapenkov in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Daniil Ostapenkov. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Ostapenkov' if Daniil Ostapenkov advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or the influence of unique information. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially when new developments impact the expected result of the Draxl vs Ostapenkov match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the different outcomes of the Draxl vs Ostapenkov match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of the expected result.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Draxl vs Ostapenkov match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not. The exact timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence the price action of this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could sway traders’ opinions. A strong showing by either player in a preceding tournament, or even a notable practice session, could all contribute to movement in this market for the Draxl vs Ostapenkov match.