TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:10 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Patrick Zahraj in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Patrick Zahraj in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each candidate winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares of a particular candidate, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their chances. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a constantly updated assessment of the election’s potential results. Currently, the market indicates a strong likelihood of one outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant election authorities in Sioux Falls. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official election will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Major events like televised debates, significant endorsements from influential figures, and the release of new polling data could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding either candidate, such as controversies or policy announcements, could also cause price fluctuations. Changes in fundraising totals or voter turnout projections could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of each candidate winning has the potential to move this market.