TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj
polymarket

Who will win Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj?

Volume:
$114,872

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj

 - Polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 3:10 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$114,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Match O/U 23.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Patrick Zahraj in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Patrick Zahraj in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks primarily consider statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of a diverse group of traders. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast real-world events, sometimes outperforming traditional polling data and expert forecasts. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but they are derived from different sources and methodologies. Discrepancies can arise due to varying information access and incentives among participants.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each candidate winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares of a particular candidate, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their chances. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a constantly updated assessment of the election’s potential results. Currently, the market indicates a strong likelihood of one outcome.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant election authorities in Sioux Falls. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official election will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade.

Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Major events like televised debates, significant endorsements from influential figures, and the release of new polling data could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding either candidate, such as controversies or policy announcements, could also cause price fluctuations. Changes in fundraising totals or voter turnout projections could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of each candidate winning has the potential to move this market.