TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between J.J. Wolf and Daniel Milavsky in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'J.J. Wolf' if J.J. Wolf advances against Daniel Milavsky. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Milavsky' if Daniel Milavsky advances against J.J. Wolf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between J.J. Wolf and Daniel Milavsky in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'J.J. Wolf' if J.J. Wolf advances against Daniel Milavsky. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Milavsky' if Daniel Milavsky advances against J.J. Wolf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds, which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion among bettors and prediction market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially as new developments emerge.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the potential result of the Wolf vs Milavsky match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the J.J. Wolf versus Daniel Milavsky tennis match as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available and reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception regarding the Wolf vs Milavsky match.