TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:21 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between James Kent Trotter and Trevor Svajda in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:40PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Kent Trotter' if James Kent Trotter advances against Trevor Svajda. This market will resolve to 'Trevor Svajda' if Trevor Svajda advances against James Kent Trotter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between James Kent Trotter and Trevor Svajda in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 3:40PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Kent Trotter' if James Kent Trotter advances against Trevor Svajda. This market will resolve to 'Trevor Svajda' if Trevor Svajda advances against James Kent Trotter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each candidate winning the Sioux Falls mayoral race. As more shares are purchased for a particular candidate, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares is determined by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis. The current volume is $204,188.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant election authorities in Sioux Falls. This determination will reflect which candidate receives the majority of votes and is declared the winner of the mayoral election. The outcome will be determined by the official vote count, and any recounts or legal challenges that may occur afterward.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant fundraising announcements, or unexpected developments in the candidates’ campaigns could all shift sentiment. Public opinion polls and debates are also likely to impact the perceived chances of each candidate. Any negative press or controversies surrounding either candidate could also trigger movement in the market. Shifts in voter turnout expectations, or changes in the political landscape of Sioux Falls, could also play a role.