TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Jans/Vliegen and Milavsky/Shick in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jans/Vliegen' if the team of Jans/Vliegen advances against Milavsky/Shick. This market will resolve to 'Milavsky/Shick' if the team of Milavsky/Shick advances against Jans/Vliegen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Jans/Vliegen and Milavsky/Shick in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jans/Vliegen' if the team of Jans/Vliegen advances against Milavsky/Shick. This market will resolve to 'Milavsky/Shick' if the team of Milavsky/Shick advances against Jans/Vliegen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially when there's strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as traders identify perceived mispricings. Examining both sets of odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates the collective wisdom of traders, resulting in a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sioux Falls doubles match between Jans/Vliegen and Milavsky/Shick. The winning team, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will dictate the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Polymarket once the official results are available and verified, allowing for a clear determination of winning shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by either team in other matches, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market leading up to Nov 5, 2026.