TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Ostapenkov and Ozan Baris in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 7:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Ostapenkov' if Daniil Ostapenkov advances against Ozan Baris. This market will resolve to 'Ozan Baris' if Ozan Baris advances against Daniil Ostapenkov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Ostapenkov and Ozan Baris in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 7:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Ostapenkov' if Daniil Ostapenkov advances against Ozan Baris. This market will resolve to 'Ozan Baris' if Ozan Baris advances against Daniil Ostapenkov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on the incentives of individuals betting with their own capital. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there’s value, and potentially identify mispricings relative to conventional wisdom about the Ostapenkov vs Baris match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s expectation, and changes in volume and price can signal shifts in sentiment regarding the Ostapenkov vs Baris match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ostapenkov vs Baris match, as determined by the governing body of the tournament. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could cause traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. High-profile endorsements or public statements from influential figures in the sport might also move the market. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential trading opportunities related to the Ostapenkov vs Baris match.