TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Mayo and Maks Kasnikowski in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mayo' if Aidan Mayo advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Aidan Mayo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Mayo and Maks Kasnikowski in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Mayo' if Aidan Mayo advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Aidan Mayo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the opinions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying levels of public attention. It’s important to note that prediction markets are forward-looking, reflecting expectations about the future outcome of the Sioux Falls mayoral race.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant election authorities for the Sioux Falls mayoral race. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official election will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final vote count and official declaration of the winner.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major campaign events like debates and rallies, significant endorsements from influential figures, and the release of new polling data are all potential catalysts. Unexpected news stories about the candidates, such as controversies or policy announcements, could also shift market sentiment. Changes in voter turnout expectations, or shifts in the broader political landscape within Sioux Falls, could also influence trading activity and the implied probabilities reflected in this market.