TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:56 PM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses whether more than zero goals will be scored in the upcoming Sint Maarten versus Vincent Grenadines soccer match. This reflects the likelihood of any scoring occurring during the game's regular time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Sint Maarten vs Vincent Grenadines professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer game scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all calculations. A 'Yes' outcome occurs only if the specified threshold of goals (ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5) is exceeded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, tends to more accurately reflect the true probabilities of various outcomes. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to potential discrepancies. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view of the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair price to bet on the total goals scored.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Sint Maarten vs Vincent Grenadines match will be the determining factor. Official match statistics from a recognized sporting authority will be used to verify the final goal count. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual total goals scored in the game.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sint Maarten or Vincent Grenadines would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also impact the market. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any unexpected lineup announcements could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts in this market.