TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$281,012,624
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,948,184,939
411,211
Markets across
39,745
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,440
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the margin of victory in the Sint Maarten versus Vincent Grenadines match, focusing on whether either team secures a decisive win. It considers the difference in goals scored by the two sides after regular time, without accounting for extra time or penalties.
These markets determine whether Sint Maarten or Vincent Grenadines achieves a win by a margin exceeding specified goal differences in the October 3, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League match. 'Yes' resolves if Sint Maarten wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Vincent Grenadines wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, all calculated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Kalshi explicitly states no official connection to CONCACAF, and all associated trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting an outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose money if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the final result of the Sint Maarten vs Vincent Grenadines match, as reported by official sources. The specific details of the match result that determine the outcome will be based on standard sporting rules for this type of competition. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or analysis predicting a particular outcome could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants or groups could cause noticeable price movements, as could any updates on the overall tournament or competition context surrounding the Sint Maarten vs Vincent Grenadines match.