TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 7:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 16, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 9, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 16, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and change with every trade, offering a real-time assessment of event probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Sprint Qualifying session at the Singapore Grand Prix are verifiable from credible public reporting. The driver who achieves the fastest lap time during the Sprint Qualifying session will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official Formula 1 results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, confirmed results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding driver health, car performance during practice sessions, or weather forecasts for the race weekend could shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about car upgrades or team strategies would also be influential. Furthermore, performance in earlier qualifying stages, if applicable, can provide clues about each driver’s potential. A major incident involving a leading contender during practice could drastically alter the odds, as could any changes to track conditions that favor certain driving styles or car setups.