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Singapore Grand Prix Main Race Winner
kalshi

Who will win the Singapore Grand Prix Main Race?

Volume:
$1,436,140

Max Verstappen

 - Kalshi

Max Verstappen - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 12:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Max Verstappen

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$507,913
N/A
N/A
$276,743
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221,164
N/A
N/A
$192,881
Settled
No
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200,913
N/A
N/A
$144,538
Settled
No
kalshi

George Russell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166,818
N/A
N/A
$148,970
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles Leclerc

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$154,099
N/A
N/A
$113,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Lando Norris

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,553
N/A
N/A
$77,571
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,300
N/A
N/A
$39,921
Settled
No
kalshi

Isack Hadjar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,559
N/A
N/A
$28,544
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Perez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,964
N/A
N/A
$9,964
Settled
No
kalshi

Fernando Alonso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,414
N/A
N/A
$3,414
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Albon

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,577
N/A
N/A
$2,577
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Lawson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,223
N/A
N/A
$1,223
Settled
No
kalshi

Gabriel Bortoleto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

Pierre Gasly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$856
N/A
N/A
$856
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Bearman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$519
N/A
N/A
$519
Settled
No
kalshi

Esteban Ocon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$475
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Sainz Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Hulkenberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$188
Settled
No
kalshi

Arvid Lindblad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

Franco Colapinto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
No
kalshi

Valtteri Bottas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93
N/A
N/A
$93
Settled
No
kalshi

Lance Stroll

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks which driver will win the main race at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix. Currently, Kalshi gives Max Verstappen an 87.0% probability of winning, while Lewis Hamilton is at 6.0%. The market resolves based on the finishing order of the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, as determined by the official race results. Keep a close eye on qualifying results on October 10, 2026, as these will heavily influence the final race outcome and potential shifts in probabilities before the race begins.

Kalshi

If Oscar Piastri finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Albon finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nico Hulkenberg finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Esteban Ocon finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gabriel Bortoleto finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fernando Alonso finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If George Russell finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lando Norris finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Franco Colapinto finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carlos Sainz Jr. finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Liam Lawson finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lance Stroll finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Max Verstappen finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charles Leclerc finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Isack Hadjar finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oliver Bearman finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lewis Hamilton finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pierre Gasly finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrea Kimi Antonelli finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sergio Perez finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Valtteri Bottas finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arvid Lindblad finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Singapore Grand Prix winner market tracks the current odds for each potential race winner, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $921,617, and the total volume traded to date, which is $1,436,140. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the probabilities of different outcomes in this exciting Formula 1 race.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or promotional offers, while this market relies on individuals directly wagering on their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. However, it's also common to see convergence as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Keep in mind that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, but are derived through different mechanisms.

On Kalshi, this market operates as a continuous double auction, meaning traders are constantly posting bids and asks for contracts on each potential winner of the Singapore Grand Prix. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that driver winning, as perceived by the market participants. Higher demand for a driver's contract drives up the price, reflecting increased confidence in their chances, while lower demand results in a price decrease. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a forward-looking prediction.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile (FIA) following the completion of the Singapore Grand Prix main race. The driver who crosses the finish line first, according to the official results, will be declared the winner and determine the settlement of this market. Any post-race penalties or disqualifications that affect the official finishing order will be taken into consideration during resolution.

Numerous events could influence the probabilities reflected in this market leading up to the race on Oct 11, 2026. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly the potential for rain, are a major factor, as the Singapore Grand Prix is notoriously affected by wet conditions. Driver performance during practice and qualifying sessions will also be closely watched, providing insights into car setup and pace. Any unexpected mechanical issues or crashes involving key contenders could drastically shift the odds. Finally, strategic decisions announced by teams, such as tire choices or pit stop plans, could also move this market.