TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$245,601,049

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,405,322

408,349

Markets across

39,583

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,443

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Singapore Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover
kalshi

Who will be the biggest mover?

Volume:
$16,251

George Russell

 - Kalshi

George Russell - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 12:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

George Russell

View
50%
33%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$7,111
N/A
N/A
$3,488
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Isack Hadjar

View
50%
9%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$6,716
N/A
N/A
$5,612
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Fernando Alonso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
$483
Settled
No
kalshi

Franco Colapinto

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$437
N/A
N/A
$424
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
No
kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
$207
Settled
No
kalshi

Max Verstappen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$153
Settled
No
kalshi

Charles Leclerc

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$151
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Lawson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
$117
Settled
No
kalshi

Esteban Ocon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Piastri

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
No
kalshi

Arvid Lindblad

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
No
kalshi

Gabriel Bortoleto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

Pierre Gasly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$17
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Albon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Nico Hulkenberg

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Sainz Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Bearman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
kalshi

Sergio Perez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
kalshi

Lando Norris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Lance Stroll

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
kalshi

Valtteri Bottas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$4
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

This market focuses on identifying which driver achieves the most significant improvement in their race position during the Singapore Grand Prix. It measures the difference between a driver's starting grid position and their final classified position, rewarding those who make the largest upward movement in the race standings.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified driver records the largest positive differential between their official starting grid position and their official final classified position in the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix main race. The position differential is calculated as starting grid position minus final classified position, with only drivers having both an official starting grid and numeric classified finishing position eligible for comparison. If multiple drivers tie for the greatest differential, the Yes payout is divided equally among tied drivers. Race interruptions, rescheduling, or cancellations follow specific settlement rules based on FIA classifications and timing, with fair price settlements applied in extraordinary circumstances. All official grids and classifications are determined by FIA regulations, with post-race penalties and disqualifications considered if announced before market expiration.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Singapore Grand Prix mover market tracks the current odds for each driver to be the biggest mover during the race, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $13,416, and the total volume traded to date, which is $16,251. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the potential for each driver to gain the most positions during the Singapore Grand Prix.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and promotional considerations, while this market is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs about the race outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the potential for each driver to be the biggest mover in the Singapore Grand Prix.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each driver being the biggest mover. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, and the market price reflects the collective assessment of all participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each driver achieving the biggest gain during the race.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The driver who gains the most positions during the Singapore Grand Prix main race will be considered the biggest mover. Official race results, as published by Formula 1 and verified by reputable motorsport news sources, will determine the final outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to see which driver’s performance aligned with the market’s predictions.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected weather changes, such as a sudden downpour during qualifying or the race, could alter the competitive landscape and shift expectations for driver performance. Any news regarding car upgrades, driver health, or team strategy changes could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, the performance of drivers during practice and qualifying sessions will provide valuable data points and could lead to substantial movements in the odds as traders react to the latest information before the main race.