TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 18, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 18, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered. If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As such, the odds here may differ from sportsbook offerings, potentially offering value to informed bettors who identify discrepancies. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and analysis faster than traditional markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous, decentralized exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each driver's chance of setting the fastest lap. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a driver will achieve the fastest lap, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the race approaches, driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The driver officially recorded as having the fastest lap during the Singapore Grand Prix, according to the official Formula 1 timing data, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by Formula 1 and widely reported by reputable sports news outlets. Any disputes will be settled based on this official data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Weather conditions, such as rain, can dramatically alter race strategy and driver performance, potentially favoring drivers known for wet-weather expertise. Mechanical failures or crashes during qualifying or the race itself would immediately impact a driver’s chances. Unexpected announcements regarding car upgrades or driver health could also cause shifts in the odds. Finally, any news related to driver penalties or changes in track conditions will likely move this market as traders react to the new information.