TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Simmons Bank Championship Winner
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Who will win the Simmons Bank Championship?

Volume:
$158,576

Darren Fichardt

 - Kalshi

Darren Fichardt - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 4:59 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Darren Fichardt

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,020
N/A
N/A
$11,923
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zach Johnson

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,967
N/A
N/A
$25,627
Settled
No
kalshi

Henrik Stenson

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,585
N/A
N/A
$8,325
Settled
No
kalshi

Steven Alker

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,919
N/A
N/A
$7,967
Settled
No
kalshi

Boo Weekley

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,437
N/A
N/A
$9,437
Settled
No
kalshi

Retief Goosen

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,238
N/A
N/A
$8,178
Settled
No
kalshi

Padraig Harrington

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,962
N/A
N/A
$7,962
Settled
No
kalshi

Y.E. Yang

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,893
N/A
N/A
$7,893
Settled
No
kalshi

Stewart Cink

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,932
N/A
N/A
$4,608
Settled
No
kalshi

Richard Green

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,262
N/A
N/A
$5,262
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Block

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,047
N/A
N/A
$4,753
Settled
No
kalshi

Darren Clarke

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,953
N/A
N/A
$3,953
Settled
No
kalshi

Vijay Singh

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,920
N/A
N/A
$2,920
Settled
No
kalshi

Ernie Els

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,795
N/A
N/A
$1,795
Settled
No
kalshi

Rory Sabbatini

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,543
N/A
N/A
$1,539
Settled
No
kalshi

Paul Goydos

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,450
N/A
N/A
$1,450
Settled
No
kalshi

Stephen Allan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,439
N/A
N/A
$1,439
Settled
No
kalshi

Stephen Ames

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,425
N/A
N/A
$1,299
Settled
No
kalshi

Tim O'Neal

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,278
N/A
N/A
$1,278
Settled
No
kalshi

Tim Petrovic

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
$935
Settled
No
kalshi

Søren Kjeldsen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$919
N/A
N/A
$919
Settled
No
kalshi

Jamie Donaldson

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$879
N/A
N/A
$879
Settled
No
kalshi

Jerry Kelly

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$832
N/A
N/A
$832
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Crane

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$672
N/A
N/A
$672
Settled
No
kalshi

Ricardo Gonzalez

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
$607
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 51

Description

The Simmons Bank Championship is a prestigious golf tournament where competitors aim to claim the top position. Betting markets focus on predicting which golfer will emerge victorious after the final round. Outcomes are determined solely by the official tournament results, with specific resolution rules applying if participants withdraw before play begins.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official winner of the Simmons Bank Championship. If the listed golfer wins the tournament, the respective market resolves to Yes; all other markets resolve to No. For any golfer who forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to the tournament’s start, Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets resolve to No, while Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets resolve to Fair Market Value. These secondary rules apply uniformly across all participants and market types, ensuring consistent resolution regardless of individual golfer status.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Simmons Bank Championship market provides real-time data on the probabilities of different golfers winning, as determined by traders on the exchange. You’ll find the current price for each potential winner, a history of price movements, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $45,514. The total volume traded in this market is $157,628. This allows you to see how confidence in each golfer is shifting and how much activity is happening within the market.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into how the event is perceived by different groups.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each golfer winning the Simmons Bank Championship. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular golfer, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Simmons Bank Championship is verifiable from credible public reporting. The golfer who wins the tournament, as officially declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament and will be considered final once verified. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding golfer injuries, changes in form during practice rounds, or weather forecasts impacting playing conditions could all cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected withdrawals from key contenders would also likely lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, live performance during the tournament itself – a strong first-round score, for example – would undoubtedly move the market as traders react to the unfolding events and reassess their predictions.