This event group covers the Danish Superliga match between Silkeborg IF and FC Midtjylland scheduled for February 22, 2026. Three binary markets track the possible outcomes: Silkeborg win, draw, or Midtjylland win, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Polymarket's draw market explicitly resolves to Yes upon full game cancellation with no make-up, while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause and implies resolution only upon game completion. This creates a settlement mismatch for the cancellation edge case.
Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk. Polymarket draw market resolves Yes if canceled; Kalshi tie market has no stated cancellation rule and may require discretionary settlement. If cancellation becomes likely, Polymarket draw and Kalshi tie markets will diverge significantly.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Silkeborg win, draw, Midtjylland win). Draw market explicitly states: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Win markets resolve to No on cancellation. All resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Midtjylland win, Tie, Silkeborg win) covering the same match. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implicitly assumes game completion; resolution logic is silent on postponement or cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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