TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:46 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:35AM ET: If the Sichuan Blue Whales win, the market will resolve to "Sichuan Blue Whales". If the Tianjin Pioneers win, the market will resolve to "Tianjin Pioneers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 17 at 7:35AM ET: If the Sichuan Blue Whales win, the market will resolve to "Sichuan Blue Whales". If the Tianjin Pioneers win, the market will resolve to "Tianjin Pioneers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If sportsbook odds are available for this event, comparing them to the current price on Polymarket can reveal whether the market agrees with or diverges from professional oddsmakers. Discrepancies may indicate areas where the crowd perceives an advantage or disadvantage not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing system ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sichuan Blue Whales versus Tianjin Pioneers game. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed using publicly available information from official league sources. Traders should monitor news sources leading up to and following the game to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the resolution of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Game-day performance, including early scoring runs or key player matchups, will likely cause fluctuations in the market price. Additionally, broader news related to the Chinese Basketball Association or the teams involved could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.