TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Sagan Tosu
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Sagan Tosu?

Total volume:
$585
Volume 24h:
$125
0.82%
Liquidity:
$59,359
259%
Open interest:
$50
100%

Tosu

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 06h:41m:41s

Tosu wins

41%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 41¢ buys you 244 shares | Odds: 41% Total Payout: $244 | Net Profit: $144 Multiplier: 2.44x | ROI: 144% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tosu

Trade
41%
Yes 41¢No 60¢
1¢
N/A
$19
0%
N/A
$19
6h 41m
Active
polymarket

Sagan Tosu

Trade
41%
Yes 41¢No 60¢
1¢
$20,051
$292
35%
N/A
N/A
3h 41m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
40.5%
Yes 41¢No 60¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Shonan

Trade
33%
Yes 33¢No 69¢
2¢
N/A
$30
0%
N/A
$30
6h 41m
Active
polymarket

Shōnan Bellmāre

Trade
32%
1%
Yes 32¢No 69¢
1¢
$18,951
$137
0%
N/A
N/A
3h 41m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
31.8%
Yes 32.5¢No 69¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Draw (Shōnan Bellmāre vs. Sagan Tosu)

Trade
28%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
$20,357
$106
0%
N/A
N/A
3h 41m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6h 41m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28.5%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a J2 League soccer match between Shōnan Bellmāre and Sagan Tosu scheduled for November 3, 2026. Markets ask whether Shōnan Bellmāre will win, Sagan Tosu will win, or the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing handling of game cancellations. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers defined risk, while Kalshi's lack of clarity introduces uncertainty.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of cancellation handling. Implies no resolution if the game is canceled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 between Shōnan Bellmāre and Sagan Tosu.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Shonan vs Tosu professional Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Shonan win, Tosu win, or a tie. If Shonan wins, the 'Shonan' market resolves to Yes. If Tosu wins, the 'Tosu' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes in the Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a combined volume of $585, with Polymarket showing a leading probability for a particular result. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving and compare the collective wisdom of the crowd to traditional betting odds. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations for this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate house edges and may be influenced by promotional considerations, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders. This market's odds represent a crowd-sourced forecast of the match outcome. While there can be correlation, discrepancies often arise due to differing information sources and incentives. Prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate predictions, especially when there's significant volume and diverse participation.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market design – the available outcomes and contract specifications – might differ slightly between the two venues. These factors can lead to variations in how traders interpret information and express their beliefs about the Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu match. Differences in volume, currently at $134 over the last 24 hours, can also contribute to price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and how it aligns with their predictions after the match concludes. This market offers a unique way to forecast the result of this sporting event and potentially profit from accurate predictions.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Shonan Bellmare or Sagan Tosu could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is key to informed trading in this market.