TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Shimizu vs Gamba: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Shimizu vs Gamba?

Volume:
$9,944

Shimizu wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Shimizu wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 2:03 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shimizu wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,012
N/A
N/A
$2,945
Settled
No
kalshi

Shimizu wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,172
N/A
N/A
$1,482
Settled
No
kalshi

Gamba wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,805
N/A
N/A
$1,260
Settled
No
kalshi

Shimizu wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,655
N/A
N/A
$1,652
Settled
No
kalshi

Gamba wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Shimizu and Gamba in Japan's J1 League. The result depends on the margin of victory for either team within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds define whether the market settles positively.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Shimizu vs Gamba Japan J1 League match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Shimizu winning by more than 2.5 goals, Shimizu winning by more than 1.5 goals, Gamba winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Gamba winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market resolving to 'Yes' if achieved; otherwise, all markets resolve to 'No'. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty phases, focusing solely on regular-time results. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Shimizu vs Gamba match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the potential outcomes, allowing you to see shifts in sentiment over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $9,944, with $9,894 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides insight into how actively traders are participating and adjusting their predictions for the match’s spread.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or house biases. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market relies on the collective predictions of traders. Over time, discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can emerge as new information becomes available or as traders identify perceived mispricings. It’s common to see the market adjust more dynamically to news and analysis than traditional sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Shimizu vs Gamba match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the spread, and the market price reflects the aggregated intelligence of all traders. As more traders participate and new information arises, the price will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Shimizu vs Gamba match as officially recorded by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual result. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final spread.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either Shimizu or Gamba could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also contribute to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations and cause the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.