TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Shimizu and Gamba in Japan's J1 League. Participants can speculate on whether Shimizu will win, Gamba will win, or the game will end in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of that specific match, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of the Shimizu vs Gamba professional Japan J1 League soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Shimizu wins, the 'Shimizu' market resolves to Yes; if Gamba wins, the 'Gamba' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The event exclusively considers the regular time result, with no regard for post-match proceedings such as extra time or penalty kicks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the odds in this market can shift more rapidly than those at traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before the event begins, as traders incorporate diverse perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and spread can vary depending on trading activity and the time remaining until the event. Traders can set limit orders or market orders to participate in the trading process.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Shimizu vs Gamba match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and any applicable tie-breaking rules. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Shimizu or Gamba, changes in team formations, or significant weather forecasts that might affect playing conditions. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or team morale could also impact the market. Furthermore, any major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or media coverage, can drive price movements in this market as traders react to new information.