TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:20 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Shimizu S-Pulse and Gamba Ōsaka, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shimizu S-Pulse" if Shimizu S-Pulse are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gamba Ōsaka" if Gamba Ōsaka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Shimizu S-Pulse and Gamba Ōsaka, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Shimizu S-Pulse" if Shimizu S-Pulse are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Gamba Ōsaka" if Gamba Ōsaka are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as event time approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. However, initial sportsbook lines might offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates information. It's common to see the odds on Polymarket converge with sportsbook lines as the match date nears, though discrepancies can still arise due to differing market participants and information access.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Shimizu S-Pulse versus Gamba Ōsaka match. If no goal is scored by either team, the market will resolve as 'No Goal Scored.' The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the first team to score, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Shimizu S-Pulse or Gamba Ōsaka would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team's attacking prowess could also lead to price fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.