TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Hiroshima Dragonflies
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Hiroshima Dragonflies?

Volume:
$48,682

Hiroshima Dragonflies

 - Kalshi

Hiroshima Dragonflies - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 2:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hiroshima Dragonflies

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,405
N/A
N/A
$14,810
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shimane Susanoo Magic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,763
N/A
N/A
$17,881
Settled
No
polymarket

Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Hiroshima Dragonflies

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 1h 24m
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns a Japan B League basketball game between the Shimane Susanoo Magic and the Hiroshima Dragonflies. The markets resolve to either Shimane winning or Hiroshima winning, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets disagree on the date of the game being resolved. Polymarket refers to a game in 2024, while Kalshi refers to a game in 2026.Hero tip: Trade the Polymarket market for the near-term game. Avoid the Kalshi market due to the long time horizon and increased uncertainty.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the game scheduled for November 1, 2024. If Shimane wins, Shimane resolves as Yes. If Hiroshima wins, Hiroshima resolves as Yes. If postponed, market remains open. If canceled, resolves 50-50. "In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for November 1 at 12:55AM ET..."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. If Shimane wins, Yes. If Hiroshima wins, Yes. "...originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at 12:55 AM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for November 1 at 12:55AM ET: If the Shimane Susanoo Magic win, the market will resolve to "Shimane Susanoo Magic". If the Hiroshima Dragonflies win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Dragonflies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If Shimane Susanoo Magic wins the Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Shimane Susanoo Magic men's professional Japan B League basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at 12:55 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hiroshima Dragonflies wins the Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Shimane Susanoo Magic men's professional Japan B League basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 at 12:55 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments as new data emerges, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies. Each platform attracts a different set of participants with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Additionally, the specific rules and fee structures of each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. For example, differing liquidity or trading limits could create temporary imbalances. The current volume of $48,682 also plays a role, as lower volume can lead to greater price volatility.

Several signals could impact the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions for either the Shimane Susanoo Magic or the Hiroshima Dragonflies could significantly shift predictions. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even changes in public sentiment driven by media coverage, may also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other B.League games could also indirectly affect perceptions of team strength, leading to movement in this market.