TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:11 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in Japan's B League. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will be accounted for according to specific timing guidelines.
The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Japan B League basketball game between Shimane Susanoo Magic and Chiba Jets Funabashi, scheduled for October 17, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders on Kalshi, may reveal different probabilities as participants weigh various factors, including team news, player performance, and public sentiment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or interpretations, and the market's ability to quickly adjust to new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information, and the current prices are a direct result of the supply and demand for these contracts among Kalshi users.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shimane Susanoo Magic versus Chiba Jets Funabashi game, as reported by official league sources. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for winning contracts after the resolution date. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available information to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Shimane Susanoo Magic or the Chiba Jets Funabashi would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team lineups, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions (if affecting travel) could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances of winning could drive volume and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Major performance swings in recent games could also be a catalyst.